Scientists have confirmed the fact that Sun, recently, it is abnormally active, about it once it was written CNews. C 2010 begins a powerful series that will be somewhat unexpected.
Mausumi Dikpati, who is head of research of the atmosphere in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (USA), along with several scientists have created a dynamic model magnetic activity of the Sun. The results that they have received, say, that the future cycle of activity of the sun will be almost half stronger than the one that came before it. What awaits us, if not engaging in an active phase of the peak, Sun gives the Earth and so are powerful enough disasters? Space Daily summing up, said that the most likely forecast is highly accurate as tests of algorithms showed 98% accuracy the activity of the last eight cycles activity of the Sun.
empirically established that the Solar Activity, among other things, we can determine, simply by counting the spots on the star. Cyclicity of 11 years, but these cycles are the same, there are others that occur over longer periods of time, which may overlap.
Exact prediction of solar activity are extremely important, because modern society simply can not do without power lines and communication satellites, you need to know for sure what strain they experience.
In 2004, in order to explain the origin of a large number of anomalies, the same group of doctors Dikpati, developed a model that helps to understand the dynamic transport of magnetic flux. Then studied a further 23 cycle of solar activity. The basis of this model is the assumption that the plasma flows are in the convective layer of the Sun, closely related to the number of spots the star. This model takes into account everything, and meridional circulation effect, and the irregularity of solar rotation and magnetic field structure, which is hollow. Plasma cycles from the equator to the poles in Sun implemented with a periodicity of 17 – 22 years. This circulation transports and stains from place to place. When sunspots break up, then their characteristic magnetic field pattern leaves its imprint on the plasma, which in turn moves to the poles. When the plasma enters the polar regions, it deepens to 200 thousand kilometers in the convection zone. Now she has to return to the equatorial latitudes, however, move in the opposite direction very much slower. The speed at times does not exceed 1 meter per second, which is why the cycle solar activity taking so long.
The fact that the plasma flows and the truth beneath the surface of the Sun, which offered a model Dikpati confirm helioseismological observations made recently.
The latest model of the solar high-precision, it showed 98% of what was happening to our luminary in the past, as it has evolved from cycle to cycle. Then the scientists wanted to with this model to see what awaits Sun in the future. But first the predictions showed that the 24 series will be more powerful than its predecessor by 30 – 50%.
Thanks to the invention, a model that can perform high-precision math activity of the sun, scientists began to solve the problem is rather complex, which previously did not yield forecasting. Now, however, possible to analyze at once two cycles solar in the future. What will the 25 series, this we know with you as soon as next year.
Sun, in spite of all the latest improved models, more and more of us throws up problems and issues. In recent years our light emits a bright flash, increasing the growth of the abnormal phenomena of activity, the scientists do not fully understand what are the nature of these processes. All this makes us very different look at what is happening on our planet, even the most pessimistic forecasts did not seem so fantastic. It takes only one flash to the earth began indescribable distress, but such an outbreak should clearly be directed to the Earth, is enough for this, which occurred October 28, 2003.
Far enough to the time when the problem with sunny predictions completely gone. Unexpected things happen not only in our stars, but also on Jupiter. Appeared in that distant giant some mysterious Red Spot, then came the second. The most interesting is that the Solar Cycle and the frequency of circulation of Jupiter close in a time warp. From this it follows that the most likely processes that occur in these two celestial bodies that are closely tied together. While this is not proved, but to write off this version is not worth it.
Solar Activity increases, its impact is already being felt, all this is more dangerous because it is not clear, as reflected in all living things such anomalies.
At the time, Alexander Chizhevsky – a famous scholar of the Soviet Union, systematized empirical relationship activity of the Sun with different processes that occur on Earth, including social ones. But despite this, the mechanisms of what is happening and are covered with darkness.
Disasters Aviation, a large number of suicides and the entire film is not clear how similar, but are associated with activity of the Sun. Modern scientists have set themselves the task – to understand the nature of these impacts.
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Every 11 years there are periods of maximum magnetic activity of our Sun.
Last time this activity, scientists have recorded in 2001. It is logical to assume that the next period of magnetic activity will be in 2012.
During solar maximum can be observed fairly large outbreaks in the sun, and coronal mass ejections. By themselves, these periods of activity do not bear the threat of earthlings. They can only interfere with radio or disrupt electronics on satellites.
But in 2012 things may be somewhat different. As has been said many times, resulting in parade of planets in 2012 change the mass balance of terrestrial bodies and dramatically shift the magnetic axis of rotation of the planet. This, in turn, will cause displacement of the magnetic poles of the Earth, which would entail a breach of the magnetic field. This field protects the planet from harmful solar radiation.
Violation of the magnetic field in conjunction with the peak of solar activity will cause falling to earth flows deadly solar radiation, which in combination with natural disasters would be disastrous for most living organisms.